Tuesday, January 19, 2010

Tonight's Gonna Be a Good Night

"I got a feelin'.  That tonight's gonna be a big big night." -- Black Eyed Peas

I predicted on my facebook page Sunday that Scott Brown would win against Martha Coakley by 7 points in the Senate Race in Massachusetts.  With more polling data coming out on Monday showing Brown up by 9 or 10 points, I am pretty confident that Brown's margin of victory will be large.

As many of you are well aware this could mean the death of Obamacare.  Brown has pledged that he will join a Republican filibuster against that bill when it comes out of the reconciliation committee.

However, libertarian economist Bob Murphy had this to say in the comments at EPJ.

I don't mean to be a party pooper, but I would caution everyone about getting real excited for Republicans to step up to the plate and defend our liberties.  I still cringe when I remember staying up late election night 2000 because I was so so worried that that "socialist Al Gore" would wreck the US economy...

I respectfully disagree, but not because I have faith in Republican leaders.  The incentives for Congressmen to spend money and expand government are still there, so they won't change that much.  However, what can change is the ideological mix of the country.

History is written in simple narratives, and this election tonight will be part of that narrative.  President Obama is a symbol.  He is big government writ large.  He is Keynesianism writ large.  He is elitist arrogance.  We don't need him to be defeated and humiliated as a person, but we need it as a symbol.  We need this brand of soft-socialism to become a punchline; a mythology of errors so engrained in our collective consciousness that economic intervention will be conflated with disaster.

The White House has already decided what their strategy will be after defeat.  According to Politico:

President Barack Obama plans a combative response if, as White House aides fear, Democrats lose Tuesday’s special Senate election in Massachusetts, close advisers say.

He's doubling down.  Like Pharoah after the plagues he plans to be even more provocative.

Did the Hebrews in Egypt recognize the importance of symbolism and historical narratives?

Exodus 9:13 Then the LORD said to Moses, "Get up early in the morning, confront Pharaoh and say to him, 'This is what the LORD, the God of the Hebrews, says: Let my people go, so that they may worship me, 14 or this time I will send the full force of my plagues against you and against your officials and your people, so you may know that there is no one like me in all the earth. 15 For by now I could have stretched out my hand and struck you and your people with a plague that would have wiped you off the earth. 16 But I have raised you up for this very purpose, that I might show you my power and that my name might be proclaimed in all the earth.

Not to put word's in God's mouth or assume he has an opinion on this election, but if we value freedom for ourselves and for our fellow Americans, we should be giddy about a likely victory tonight.  Never in my lifetime has an opportunity for big government to be so thoroughly disgraced as it is right now.

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